EVID-Bench - Causal Inversion: leaderboard

EVID-Bench (2026) gives a multimodal model a manipulated video inside a fixed search-and-compare pipeline; it must find related source videos on the web and state what information is false. This board is point-level accuracy in percent on the 25 causal inversion videos (single-source editing: events reordered to invert cause and effect); higher is better.

Metric: Point-level accuracy (%) on the 25 causal inversion videos (single-source editing: events reordered to invert cause and effect), using the retrieval-augmented verification pipeline of the paper (chain-of-thought analysis, up to six YouTube search-verify-reflect rounds, 64 frames at 480p, temperature 0); each video has 3 to 5 annotated misinformation points, matched by a majority of three LLM judges; mean of three runs; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around July 2027. 9 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1GPT-5.555.32#49
2Gemini 3 Flash54.3#164
3Claude Opus 4.653.19#102
4Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview)52.1#94
5Claude Sonnet 4.650#161
6GPT-5.445.74#123
7Qwen 3.5 Plus44.7#232
8Qwen 3 VL 235B A22B Instruct43.6#522
9GPT-5.4 Mini41.49#389

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=evid-bench-causal-inversion · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-13.