EpiQAL - Multi-Step Inference: leaderboard

EpiQAL-B (Emory University, University of Illinois Chicago and Microsoft, 2026): 478 single-answer questions that require linking several findings in a PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases article with epidemiological knowledge, against distractors built from reasoning flaws such as causal reversal or misattributing a finding to another entity. The score is exact match of the selected option set in percent, higher is better, zero-shot without chain-of-thought prompting; models are not told that one option is correct, so selecting extra options fails the item. Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct-2507 generated the items, and those that GPT-5-mini, DeepSeek-V3.2-Thinking, Qwen3-32B and Phi-4-mini-instruct found easy had their question stems rewritten.

Metric: Exact Match (%; zero-shot, no CoT, full article). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around February 2027. 14 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Mistral 7B Instruct (v0.3)78.9#6698
2Qwen 3 32B74.3#960
3GPT-4.1 Nano67.8#1992
4Llama 3.3 70B Instruct [4bit]65.1#1221
5Mistral Large 2 (Nov) Instruct (2411)64.4#1199
6Qwen 3 30B A3B 2507 Instruct57.3#1078
7GPT-5 Mini53.3#349
8Qwen 3 8B50.8#1838
9Llama 3.1 8B Instruct31.8#4277
10Phi-4 Mini Instruct24.9#6452
11GPT-4o Mini22.2#1627
12Llama 3.2 3B Instruct15.7#7185

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=epiqal-multi-step-inference · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-12.