EgoCoT-Bench - Next State Anticipation: leaderboard

Metric: Answer accuracy (%, four-way multiple choice, strict exact match) of zero-shot MLLMs on egocentric manipulation videos of EgoCoT-Bench (351 clips, 3,172 human-verified questions built from spatio-temporal scene graphs), Next State Anticipation subtask (predict the most likely next state of an object); higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Estimated already saturated. 19 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScore
1GPT-5.186.99
2Qwen 3 VL 235B A22B85.97
3Qwen 3.5 Plus85.2
4Qwen 3.5 397B A17B84.95
5GPT-5.284.69
6Qwen 3.5 27B84.65
7Qwen 3.5 122B A10B81.63

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=egocot-bench-next-state-anticipation · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-07.