DMC-CF: leaderboard
Metric: Accuracy (%) over all DMC-CF counterfactual QA (the L1 and L2 sets pooled), yes/no counterfactual questions about 1,614 real-world causal event videos (videos given natively to Gemini and Qwen3-VL, as at most 16 frames to GPT and Claude); higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around January 2027. 5 models tracked.
Top models
| # | Model | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview) | 79.72 |
| 2 | Qwen 3 VL 235B A22B (Thinking) | 73.69 |
| 3 | GPT-5.2 | 68.9 |
| 4 | Qwen 3 VL 235B A22B Instruct | 61.53 |
Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=dmc-cf · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-07.