DDx-TRACE - Final Diagnosis: leaderboard

Metric: Final top-1 diagnosis score (0-1, rubric-graded) on DDx-TRACE (211 physician-adjudicated multimodal neuroradiology cases), the model starts from limited history, requests imaging in free form (at most 6 requests), updates a four-item probabilistic differential after each turn and stops with a localized diagnosis, provider default decoding; endpoints judged against case rubrics by Gemini 3 Flash at temperature 0; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around January 2027. 13 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScore
1Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview)0.55
2Gemini 3 Flash0.54
3GPT-5.40.43
4Claude Sonnet 4.60.42
5GPT-5.4 Mini0.35
6Qwen 3.5 27B0.3
7Qwen 3.5 35B A3B0.29
8Qwen 3.5 9B0.21
9Gemma 3 27B0.19
10MedGemma-27B-IT0.17
11Qwen 3.5 4B0.16
12Lingshu-32B0.15
13MedGemma 1.5 4B0.08

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=ddx-trace-final-diagnosis · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-07.