CURE (Clinical Diagnosis, Physician References) - Top-3: leaderboard

Metric: Open-ended diagnosis, Hit@3 in percent: share of cases whose reference diagnosis is among the model's top 3 ranked diagnoses (matched by a DeepSeek-V3.1 judge, kappa 0.86 against a physician on 50 cases), on CURE's 500 test cases (Eurorad 2025 radiology cases: clinical history, a mean of 8 images, radiologist findings with diagnostic statements removed), zero-shot, given the clinical history, images and the abstracts of the physician-cited references; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Estimated already saturated. 16 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Gemma 3 12B (IT)90#655
2GPT-5.281.8#105
3Gemma 3 4B (IT)81.2#971
4Qwen 3 VL 32B Instruct80.4#276
5Gemini 3 Pro (Preview)80#64
6Qwen 3 VL 235B A22B Instruct79.4#264
7Qwen 3 VL 235B A22B (Thinking)79.4#228 (Qwen 3 VL 235B A22B)
8Kimi K2.577.4#139
9GLM-4.6V77#309
10Qwen 3 VL 8B Instruct76.2#401
11Qwen 3 VL 30B A3B Instruct76#365
12Qwen 3 VL 32B (Thinking)75.8#287 (Qwen 3 VL 32B)
13MedGemma-4B-IT74.6#842
14Qwen 3 VL 8B (Thinking)72.2
15Qwen 3 VL 30B A3B (Thinking)72#338 (Qwen 3 VL 30B A3B)

No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #5 GPT-6 Astra, #8 Claude Fable 5.1.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=cure-clinical-diagnosis-physician-references-top-3 · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-11.