CURE (Clinical Diagnosis, Physician References): leaderboard

Metric: Open-ended diagnosis, Hit@1 in percent: share of cases whose reference diagnosis is among the model's top 1 ranked diagnoses (matched by a DeepSeek-V3.1 judge, kappa 0.86 against a physician on 50 cases), on CURE's 500 test cases (Eurorad 2025 radiology cases: clinical history, a mean of 8 images, radiologist findings with diagnostic statements removed), zero-shot, given the clinical history, images and the abstracts of the physician-cited references; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around 2029. 16 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Gemma 3 12B (IT)79.2#655
2GPT-5.273.4#105
3Gemini 3 Pro (Preview)70.6#64
4Qwen 3 VL 32B Instruct70.2#276
5Qwen 3 VL 235B A22B Instruct69.8#264
6Kimi K2.568.8#139
7Qwen 3 VL 8B Instruct67.6#401
8Qwen 3 VL 235B A22B (Thinking)67.6#228 (Qwen 3 VL 235B A22B)
9Qwen 3 VL 30B A3B Instruct66.4#365
10Qwen 3 VL 32B (Thinking)65#287 (Qwen 3 VL 32B)
11Gemma 3 4B (IT)64.4#971
12GLM-4.6V61.6#309
13MedGemma-4B-IT61#842
14Qwen 3 VL 30B A3B (Thinking)58#338 (Qwen 3 VL 30B A3B)
15Qwen 3 VL 8B (Thinking)56

No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #5 GPT-6 Astra, #8 Claude Fable 5.1.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=cure-clinical-diagnosis-physician-references · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-11.