ConfidenceBench - Accuracy: leaderboard

Plain accuracy on the same 200 ConfidenceBench multiple-choice questions, published alongside the calibration scores so that knowing the answer and knowing whether you know it can be read apart. Higher is better. Source: arxiv.org/abs/2607.20526.

Metric: Accuracy (%). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around February 2027. 15 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview)82.7#64
2GPT-576.6#105
3Claude Opus 4.676#67
4GPT-5 (High)75.8#105 (GPT-5)
5GPT-5 (Low)74.9#105 (GPT-5)
6Claude Opus 4.574.5#87
7GPT-5 Mini72.1#193
8Claude Sonnet 4.570.8#148
9GPT-5 Nano70.5#439
10Gemini 2.5 Pro69.4#159
11Claude Sonnet 4.669#94
12Claude Opus 4.167.3#146
13Gemini 2.5 Flash60.6#255
14Claude Sonnet 457.8#207
15Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite55.3#200

No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #6 GPT-6 Astra, #7 GPT-6.1 Sol.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=confidencebench-accuracy · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-05.