CEO-Bench - Mean Survival Days: leaderboard

Metric: Mean days survived before bankruptcy (out of 500) over three 500-day CEO-Bench simulations of a startup starting with $1M cash (seed 42), the agent writing code against 34 tools and a 19-table business database at the maximum reasoning effort the model provides; a run that avoids bankruptcy counts 500; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around December 2026. 16 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScore
1Gemini 3.5 Flash (High)500
2Qwen 3.7 Max (Thinking)500
3Claude Sonnet 5 (Max)470.7
4Claude Fable 5 (Max)461.7
5Claude Sonnet 4.6 (Max)419.3
6Claude Opus 4.7 (Max)414.3
7GPT-5.5 (xHigh)401
8Claude Opus 4.8 (Max)378
9GLM-5.2 (Max)376.7
10GPT-5.6 Sol (Max)294
11Claude Haiku 4.5 (Thinking)286.3
12Gemini 3 Flash (High)137
13DeepSeek V4 Pro (Max)136.3
14Grok 4.20 (Reasoning)36

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=ceo-bench-mean-survival-days · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-09-29.