Causal-Plan-Bench - Strategic Rationale: leaderboard

An open-ended task of Causal-Plan-Bench (2026): models explain why the current step is necessary for the high-level goal, over 100 held-out video items; a GPT-5.6-sol rubric judge scores each answer against a human-verified reference on a 0-100 scale. Items come from egocentric and robot video and every model sees the same instruction and evidence; higher is better.

Metric: Open-ended strategic rationale (why the step serves the high-level goal) task, rubric score (0-100): a blind GPT-5.6-sol judge scores each open-ended answer against a human-verified reference from 0 to 1, times 100; 100 held-out expert-reviewed items per task drawn from egocentric and robot video (EPIC-KITCHENS, Ego4D, HoloAssist and others), the same instruction, visual evidence and answer format for every model, temperature 0.2, mean of three regenerated runs; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around 2030. 14 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1GPT-6 Astra43#6
2Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview)35.2#94
3Kimi K2.532.7#256
4GPT-5.6 Sol32#30
5GPT-4o27.6#741
6Seed 2.1 Pro26.2#135
7Qwen 3 VL 8B Instruct23.5#981

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=causal-plan-bench-strategic-rationale · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-13.