Causal-Plan-Bench - State Evolution: leaderboard

Metric: Open-ended state evolution (the ongoing action and its immediate state change) task, rubric score (0-100): a blind GPT-5.6-sol judge scores each open-ended answer against a human-verified reference from 0 to 1, times 100; 100 held-out expert-reviewed items per task drawn from egocentric and robot video (EPIC-KITCHENS, Ego4D, HoloAssist and others), the same instruction, visual evidence and answer format for every model, temperature 0.2, mean of three regenerated runs; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around 2035. 14 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScore
1GPT-642.8
2Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview)40.8
3Seed 2.1 Pro39.8
4GPT-5.6 Sol35.2
5Qwen 3 VL 8B Instruct34.8
6GPT-4o34
7Kimi K2.533.6
8InternVL3.5-8B33.2

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=causal-plan-bench-state-evolution · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-09-29.