BehaviorBench - Sequential Survey Response (Distribution): leaderboard

BehaviorBench (University of Michigan, 2026) evaluates foundation models on behavioral science tasks at the individual and population levels, using economic-game records, Big Five personality surveys and research literature. This board is the Wasserstein distance (0 to 4) between predicted and observed answer distributions per item in sequential survey prediction; lower is better.

Metric: Wasserstein distance between predicted and observed answer distributions per item (five-point scale, so 0 to 4), averaged over items, predicting each next answer from earlier answers on the Big Five personality survey responses (50 five-point items) of held-out subjects; lower is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Estimated already saturated. 18 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Claude Opus 4.60.43#102
2Claude Sonnet 4.60.45#161
3Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview)0.46#94
4GPT-5.4 (High)0.46#123 (GPT-5.4)
5GPT-4.10.48#495
6GPT-5.4 Mini (High)0.49#389 (GPT-5.4 Mini)
7Claude Haiku 4.50.52#568
8Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite (Preview)0.52#418
9DeepSeek V3.20.54#406
10Llama 3.3 70B Instruct0.59#1357
11Qwen 3 4B0.65#2281

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=behaviorbench-sequential-survey-response-distribution · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-13.