Avalon-ToM-Bench - Tacit Coordination: leaderboard

Avalon-ToM-Bench (arXiv 2608.09638v1, Table 1): theory of mind in The Resistance: Avalon, where models judge perspective-constrained true/false statements about players' knowledge and motives from game state and public history. Accuracy on Tacit Coordination (motivational action) items; balanced true/false, chance 50%. Higher is better.

Metric: Accuracy (%). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Estimated already saturated. 27 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Gemini 2.5 Pro92.14#159
2GPT-591.43#105
3GPT-5 Mini89.29#193
4Gemini 2.5 Flash88.41#255
5Qwen 3 8B (Thinking)87.4#678 (Qwen 3 8B)
6Qwen 3 4B 2507 (Thinking)84.89#527
7Qwen 3 14B (Reasoning)83.45#542 (Qwen 3 14B)
8Phi-480#707
9Qwen 3.5 9B (Thinking)79.7#391 (Qwen 3.5 9B)
10Qwen 3 4B (Reasoning)78.03#834 (Qwen 3 4B)
11GPT-OSS-120B77.86#346
12GPT-4o Mini77.86#598
13Gemma 3 27B (IT)77.14#528
14Mistral 7B Instruct (v0.3)73.57#1255
15Phi-3.5-mini-instruct72.86#1148

No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #6 GPT-6 Astra, #7 GPT-6.1 Sol.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=avalon-tom-bench-tacit-coordination · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-05.