Avalon-ToM-Bench - Perspective-Taking: leaderboard

Avalon-ToM-Bench (arXiv 2608.09638v1, Table 1): theory of mind in The Resistance: Avalon, where models judge perspective-constrained true/false statements about players' knowledge and motives from game state and public history. Accuracy on Perspective-Taking (epistemic inference) items, the hardest ability in the paper; balanced true/false, chance 50%. Higher is better.

Metric: Accuracy (%). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around February 2027. 27 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1GPT-582.35#105
2Gemini 2.5 Pro79.41#159
3Gemini 2.5 Flash77.27#255
4Qwen 3 4B 2507 (Thinking)72.73#527
5GPT-5 Mini69.12#193
6Mistral 7B Instruct (v0.3)69.12#1255
7Llama 3.2 3B Instruct68.89#1327
8Qwen 3.5 9B (Thinking)68.63#391 (Qwen 3.5 9B)
9Qwen 3 8B (Thinking)68.42#678 (Qwen 3 8B)
10Gemma 3 4B (IT)67.65#997
11GPT-OSS-120B63.24#346
12GPT-4o Mini63.24#598
13Llama 3 8B Instruct63.24#1116
14Phi-463.24#707
15Gemma 3 27B (IT)61.76#528

No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #6 GPT-6 Astra, #7 GPT-6.1 Sol.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=avalon-tom-bench-perspective-taking · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-05.