ARFBench - End Time: leaderboard

Metric: Accuracy (%) on the 32 End Time questions (when the last anomaly ends, or no anomaly) of ARFBench, for the time series rendered as chart images (Matplotlib plots, three images for paired questions), with the series description and channel names as text; few-shot multiple-choice prompting with shuffled answer choices, temperature 0.05 (default for models without the setting), reasoning models at medium effort with 2,000 output tokens, blank or invalid answers counted wrong; higher is better. Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around January 2027. 11 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScore
1GPT-568.8
2GPT-5.4 (Medium)65.6
3Gemini 3 Pro62.5
4Claude Opus 4.653.1
5GPT-4o43.8
6GPT-4.140.6
7Claude Sonnet 4.537.5

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=arfbench-end-time · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-07.