AISI Cyber CTFs (inference-scaling export) @ 50M tokens: leaderboard

UK AI Security Institute capture-the-flag suite from How Inference Compute Shapes Frontier LLM Evaluation (arXiv 2606.17930; AISI export of 2026-09-16 in the Every Eval Ever datastore): 109 CTF tasks (106-108 evaluated per model), 5 independent trajectories each, ReAct-style Inspect agent with context compaction and a 50M-token cap (100M for Claude Opus 4.5). Score: cumulative flag-capture rate within 50M total tokens, mean over tasks (%). The export counts more tasks than the 71 the paper's text gives; the older chart-read AISI Cyber CTF board is a separate measurement. Higher is better. Source: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.17930

Metric: Cumulative flag-capture rate within 50M total tokens (%; mean over tasks of the share of 5 trajectories that captured the flag). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around January 2027. 9 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1GPT-5.4 (2026-03-05)84.81#58
2GPT-5.3 Codex83.36#67
3Claude Opus 4.681.12#62
4GPT-5.2 Codex73.83#93
5Claude Opus 4.5 (20251101)72.52#73
6GPT-5.1 Codex65.28#158
7GPT-555.97#98
8Claude Sonnet 4.555.19#142
9O3 (2025-04-16)51.89#120

No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #6 GPT-6 Astra, #7 GPT-6.1 Sol.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=aisi-cyber-ctfs-inference-scaling-export-50m-tokens · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-19.