AISI Cyber CTFs (inference-scaling export) @ 500K tokens: leaderboard

UK AI Security Institute capture-the-flag suite from How Inference Compute Shapes Frontier LLM Evaluation (arXiv 2606.17930; AISI export of 2026-09-16 in the Every Eval Ever datastore): 109 CTF tasks (106-108 evaluated per model), 5 independent trajectories each, ReAct-style Inspect agent with context compaction. Score: cumulative flag-capture rate within the first 500K total tokens of a trajectory, mean over tasks (%). The export counts more tasks than the 71 the paper's text gives; the older chart-read AISI Cyber CTF board is a separate measurement. Higher is better. Source: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.17930

Metric: Cumulative flag-capture rate within 500K total tokens (%; mean over tasks of the share of 5 trajectories that captured the flag). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around August 2027. 9 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1GPT-5.3 Codex40.75#67
2Claude Opus 4.640#62
3Claude Opus 4.5 (20251101)36.64#73
4GPT-5.4 (2026-03-05)36.3#58
5GPT-5.2 Codex33.33#93
6GPT-531.45#98
7Claude Sonnet 4.527.99#142
8O3 (2025-04-16)26.89#120
9GPT-5.1 Codex26.6#158

No result here: #3 Claude Opus 5.5, #6 GPT-6 Astra, #7 GPT-6.1 Sol.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=aisi-cyber-ctfs-inference-scaling-export-500k-tokens · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-10-19.