AI World Cup 2026: leaderboard
AI World Cup 2026 compares LLM assistants on one complete forecast of the 2026 FIFA World Cup made before the tournament from the same data snapshot and prompt: every group-stage score, the group standings and the knockout bracket. Total points under a fixed cumulative rubric once all 104 matches were played; higher is better. Forecasts were collected by hand through consumer assistant interfaces.
Metric: Total tournament points (a single pre-tournament forecast of the whole 2026 FIFA World Cup per assistant, from the same data snapshot, prompt and JSON schema, collected by hand through consumer interfaces; cumulative rubric: group-stage match scores (5 exact score, 3 outcome, 2 winner, 1 goal difference), group standings and knockout progression and final placings; scored after all 104 matches, results frozen at commit f83ea90). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Around November 2027. 10 models tracked.
Top models
| # | Model | Score | Overall rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Claude Sonnet 4.6 | 591 | #161 |
| 2 | Mistral Medium 3.5 | 568 | #723 |
No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.
Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=ai-world-cup-2026 · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-13.