Absurd World - Few-Shot - SWITCH: leaderboard

Absurd World (Albright et al., 2026) few-shot Determine Outcome task: from a text commentary of a five-shot-per-team penalty shootout under the SWITCH ruleset, where teams shoot a net into a ball (ball and net roles swapped), the model names the winner after three solved examples of the same ruleset, with questions drawn from the zero-shot prompts that at most the median number of models answered correctly. Accuracy over 100 prompts per model, in percent; higher is better.

Metric: Determine-Outcome Accuracy (%). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Estimated already saturated. 14 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Qwen 2.5 72B Instruct100#1093
2Gemini 2.5 Flash98#452
3GPT-4.1 Mini98#775
4Llama 3.1 Nemotron Ultra 253B v195#1027
5Gemini 2.0 Flash (001)92#724
6Hermes-3-Llama-3.1-405B92#1022
7DeepSeek R1 052891#425
8GPT-4o Mini88#1627
9Llama 3.1 405B Instruct88#1114
10Claude 3.5 Haiku79#1563
11Llama 4 Maverick Instruct71#1125
12Gemma 2 27B (IT)45#1815

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=absurd-world-few-shot-switch · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-12.