Absurd World - Few-Shot - MISSING: leaderboard

Absurd World (Albright et al., 2026) few-shot Determine Outcome task: from a text commentary of a five-shot-per-team penalty shootout under the MISSING ruleset, where a team scores when its shot misses the net, the model names the winner after three solved examples of the same ruleset, with questions drawn from the zero-shot prompts that at most the median number of models answered correctly. Accuracy over 100 prompts per model, in percent; higher is better.

Metric: Determine-Outcome Accuracy (%). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Estimated already saturated. 14 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Qwen 2.5 72B Instruct100#1093
2Gemini 2.5 Flash99#452
3GPT-4.1 Mini99#775
4Llama 3.1 Nemotron Ultra 253B v194#1027
5Gemini 2.0 Flash (001)93#724
6DeepSeek R1 052888#425
7Llama 4 Maverick Instruct87#1125
8Llama 3.1 405B Instruct86#1114
9Hermes-3-Llama-3.1-405B85#1022
10GPT-4o Mini74#1627
11Claude 3.5 Haiku67#1563
12Gemma 2 27B (IT)7#1815

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=absurd-world-few-shot-missing · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-12.