Absurd World - Few-Shot - MISS & SWITCH: leaderboard

Absurd World (Albright et al., 2026) few-shot Determine Outcome task: from a text commentary of a five-shot-per-team penalty shootout under the MISS & SWITCH ruleset, which combines the MISSING scoring inversion with the SWITCH role swap, the model names the winner after three solved examples of the same ruleset, with questions drawn from the zero-shot prompts that at most the median number of models answered correctly. Accuracy over 100 prompts per model, in percent; higher is better.

Metric: Determine-Outcome Accuracy (%). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Estimated already saturated. 14 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Qwen 2.5 72B Instruct99#1093
2Llama 3.1 Nemotron Ultra 253B v195#1027
3Gemini 2.5 Flash94#452
4GPT-4.1 Mini94#775
5Llama 3.1 405B Instruct91#1114
6DeepSeek R1 052889#425
7Gemini 2.0 Flash (001)87#724
8Llama 4 Maverick Instruct83#1125
9GPT-4o Mini80#1627
10Hermes-3-Llama-3.1-405B64#1022
11Claude 3.5 Haiku60#1563
12Gemma 2 27B (IT)16#1815

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=absurd-world-few-shot-miss-switch · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-12.