Absurd World - Few-Shot - LEAST: leaderboard

Absurd World (Albright et al., 2026) few-shot Determine Outcome task: from a text commentary of a five-shot-per-team penalty shootout under the LEAST ruleset, where the team with the lower score wins, the model names the winner after three solved examples of the same ruleset, with questions drawn from the zero-shot prompts that at most the median number of models answered correctly. Accuracy over 100 prompts per model, in percent; higher is better.

Metric: Determine-Outcome Accuracy (%). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Estimated already saturated. 14 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Gemini 2.5 Flash100#452
2Qwen 2.5 72B Instruct99#1093
3GPT-4.1 Mini98#775
4Llama 3.1 Nemotron Ultra 253B v197#1027
5DeepSeek R1 052892#425
6Gemini 2.0 Flash (001)92#724
7GPT-4o Mini87#1627
8Llama 3.1 405B Instruct87#1114
9Hermes-3-Llama-3.1-405B86#1022
10Claude 3.5 Haiku82#1563
11Llama 4 Maverick Instruct79#1125
12Gemma 2 27B (IT)47#1815

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=absurd-world-few-shot-least · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-12.