Absurd World - Few-Shot - ICE CREAM: leaderboard

Absurd World (Albright et al., 2026) few-shot Determine Outcome task: from a text commentary of a five-shot-per-team penalty shootout under the ICE CREAM ruleset, where hitting the net earns ice cream instead of points, the model names the winner after three solved examples of the same ruleset, with questions drawn from the zero-shot prompts that at most the median number of models answered correctly. Accuracy over 100 prompts per model, in percent; higher is better.

Metric: Determine-Outcome Accuracy (%). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Estimated already saturated. 14 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Gemini 2.5 Flash99#452
2Llama 3.1 Nemotron Ultra 253B v199#1027
3Llama 3.1 405B Instruct98#1114
4Qwen 2.5 72B Instruct97#1093
5GPT-4.1 Mini94#775
6Gemini 2.0 Flash (001)92#724
7DeepSeek R1 052891#425
8Hermes-3-Llama-3.1-405B89#1022
9GPT-4o Mini85#1627
10Llama 4 Maverick Instruct84#1125
11Claude 3.5 Haiku80#1563
12Gemma 2 27B (IT)50#1815

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=absurd-world-few-shot-ice-cream · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-12.