Absurd World - Few-Shot - CAR: leaderboard

Absurd World (Albright et al., 2026) few-shot Determine Outcome task: from a text commentary of a five-shot-per-team penalty shootout under the CAR ruleset, where hitting the net earns cars instead of points, the model names the winner after three solved examples of the same ruleset, with questions drawn from the zero-shot prompts that at most the median number of models answered correctly. Accuracy over 100 prompts per model, in percent; higher is better.

Metric: Determine-Outcome Accuracy (%). Source: arxiv.org. Saturation forecast: Estimated already saturated. 14 models tracked.

Top models

#ModelScoreOverall rank
1Qwen 2.5 72B Instruct99#1093
2Llama 3.1 Nemotron Ultra 253B v199#1027
3Gemini 2.5 Flash97#452
4GPT-4.1 Mini97#775
5DeepSeek R1 052896#425
6Llama 3.1 405B Instruct93#1114
7Hermes-3-Llama-3.1-405B93#1022
8Gemini 2.0 Flash (001)91#724
9GPT-4o Mini89#1627
10Llama 4 Maverick Instruct84#1125
11Claude 3.5 Haiku69#1563
12Gemma 2 27B (IT)45#1815

No result here: #1 Claude Fable 5.2, #2 Gemini 4 Carbon, #5 Claude Opus 5.5.

Interactive version: theaggregate.ai/benchmark?slug=absurd-world-few-shot-car · How It Works · Data refreshed daily, snapshot 2026-11-12.